Were you right about your career? Outcome: Measurable epistemic improvement; Superforecaster-tier calibration in 2 yr.
Were you right about your career? Your relationships? The election? Score yourself. Get smarter.
Quarterly, Robert logs 15 predictions to /deep-engines → Epistemic Humility (e.g., 'My boss will get promoted in 6 mo — 70% confident', 'Inflation will drop below 2% by Q3 — 40%'). 18 months later the engine resolves them and computes his Brier score (calibration accuracy). His first-year score is 0.31 (poorly calibrated overconfidence). After 2 yr of feedback loops his score improves to 0.17 (top-decile calibration, comparable to Superforecasters). The engine also surfaces *domain-specific* miscalibration ('overconfident on relationships, well-calibrated on finance'). Distinct from any mental-health or productivity tool: explicit Tetlock-style superforecasting protocol applied to personal life.
**Outcome:** Measurable epistemic improvement; Superforecaster-tier calibration in 2 yr.
**Time commitment:** 20 min/quarter
**Modules used:** /deep-engines Epistemic Humility, Quarterly prediction log, Brier score calculator, 18-month resolution cron, Domain-specific calibration map, Tetlock protocol
This Life Recipe belongs to the **Deep Engines** category of the K-Will Canadian digital legacy platform. K-Will is a closed trust network combining Smart Wills (province-aware, two-witness, SHA-256 blockchain-anchored), a RAG-grounded AI Companion, Heritage Recipes, the Legacy Tree, 175+ Deep Engines for self-knowledge, and a Stripe Connect marketplace for verified Canadian providers. Built in Markham, Ontario · PIPEDA / Law 25 (Quebec) / PHIPA (Ontario) / CASL compliant.
Open this on K-Will
Plan for 20 min/quarter. You can pause and resume — K-Will saves your progress and your AI Companion picks up where you left off.
This playbook combines /deep-engines Epistemic Humility, Quarterly prediction log, Brier score calculator, 18-month resolution cron, Domain-specific calibration map, Tetlock protocol. Each module is included in your K-Will account; you do not need a separate subscription.
Measurable epistemic improvement; Superforecaster-tier calibration in 2 yr.
Difficulty is rated **advanced**. Easy recipes can be done in your first week. Medium recipes assume you have a Soul Journal and at least one Circle member. Advanced recipes touch the Smart Will, Marketplace, or Deep Engines.
Yes — browsing and reading all Life Recipes is free. Running a recipe may consume K-Will Points for premium AI calls or marketplace bookings. The Starter Pack is $1.99 CAD.
Prerendered SEO snapshot for non-JS crawlers (GPTBot, ClaudeBot, PerplexityBot, Bingbot, LinkedInBot, Slackbot, facebookexternalhit). Human visitors see the full interactive K-Will React app. © K-Will Inc., Markham, Ontario. PIPEDA / Law 25 / PHIPA / CASL compliant.